In 1960, when hurricane 'Donna' struck, there were approximately
15,500 people living full time in Collier County. Today there are more
than 265,000 residents, most of whom have never been through a severe hurricane,
especially in Florida. We have come to southwest Florida from all over
the country and around the world, and we would all like to believe that
we are safe from the ravages of hurricanes.
After all, how often is Collier County struck by tropical weather?
Records kept by the National Weather
Service date back to 1850, or 152 years as this is written. In that
time 95 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 100 miles of
Naples, or one nearly every 1.6 years! Of those, 52 have been tropical
storms with winds of less than 74 miles per hour. That also means at 43
have been hurricanes, or one about every 3.5 years!
Ah, but they're all small hurricanes aren't they? Let's take
a look:
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Fifteen major hurricanes in 152 years averages out to 1 every 10.1 years!
-
14 have been category three and one has been category four. (The good
news? No category five!)
Those numbers may be a little frightening to the relative newcomer.
Remember though, that some of those storms passed by offshore or well inland:
still within 100 miles of Naples, but not a direct hit. When we follow
tropical systems we track the "center" of the storm, the point where the
lowest barometric pressure is reported. Tropical storms and hurricanes
are all unique, with poorly defined broad centers in some events, and tightly
wound well-defined eyes in others. Tropical storm force wind fields may
extend 35 miles, or 250 miles. Hurricane force winds may range from non
existent to well over a hundred miles from the center. The data from the
weather service looks at how close the "center" passed, and the reported
wind speeds in the Naples area.
The details are interesting:
Collier County Storms
By
Month And Category
May
June
July
August
September*
October*
November
December
Feb (1952)
TOTAL |
TS
1
4
4
8
12
16
5
1
1
52
|
Cat 1
0
1
0
3
2
10
2
0
0
18
|
Cat 2
0
0
0
1
5
4
0
0
0
10
|
Cat 3
0
1
0
2
7
4
0
0
0
14
|
Cat 4
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
|
Cat 5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
|
*September & October are the busiest
hurricane months
May to mid-July: Gulf and Caribbean origination,
may be land falling
Mid-July through mid-October: Atlantic originations,
usually
exiting, but not always!
Mid-October to December: Gulf and Caribbean
origination, may be land falling
Now THAT Was a Close Call!
(Center Less Than 20 Miles From Naples)
Tropical storms: 1861, 1878, 1878, 1891, 1892, 1898, 1932,
1936, 1945, 1953, 1969 (Jenny), 1985 (Bob), 1994 (Gordon), 1998
(Mitch), 1999 (Harvey)
Hurricanes: 1888, 1894, 1910, 1926, 1929,
1941, 1947, 1960 (Donna)
('Andrew' passed 35 miles south of Naples in 1992)
Hang on To Your Hat!
(Winds Greater Than 82 knots (95 miles
per hour) within 100 miles of Naples, or Category 2+- Hurricane)
1865 (90 kts.), 1873 (97 kts.), 1876 (90 kts.), 1888 (86 kts.), 1894
(105 kts.), 1896 (83 kts.), 1909 (86 kts.), 1926 (109 kts.),
1928 (112 kts.), 1929 (85 kts.), 1933 (92 kts.), 1935 (103 kts.),
1941 (100 kts.), 1945 (112 kts.), 1947 (85 kts.), 1948 (98 kts.),
1948 (97 kts.), 1949 (110 kts.), 1950 (88 kts.), 1960 (Donna 115
kts.), 1964 (Isbell 110 kts.), 1965 (Betsy 106 kts.), 1966 (Alma 98 kts.),
1992 (Andrew's winds in 1992 were less than 95 mph at Naples, but higher
on Marco and in Everglades City),
1998 (Georges 90 kts.)
Wind Blown Facts!
Things you may not have known about tropical
storms
and hurricanes in Collier County . . .
-
The earliest recorded storm....
The earliest recorded tropical system to ever strike Collier County
was a "No Name" tropical storm on June 10, 1892. The first system of the
year, it passed through Naples headed to the east-northeast at 13 miles
per hour. Naples felt winds of 49 miles per hour.
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But it's NOT the Hurricane Season!
The latest tropical system to ever affect Collier County was a tropical
storm on December 1, 1925. The center missed Naples by 63 miles as the
storm raced off toward the northeast at 25 miles per hour. Still, winds
of 55 miles per hour swept through the area. This storm also shows that
we can be hit even in a quiet year. The December storm was only the second
of the year anywhere in the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico! The most
active tropical season to affect Collier County was 1897, when the 14th
storm of the year (a tropical storm) spread 40 mph winds as it passed 37
miles from Naples on October 29. The earliest storm, a "No Name"
one, affected Naples or February 3, 1952. Its winds were 48 miles
per hour and the closest it got to Naples was 57 miles.
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Oh No! Not AGAIN!
Contrary to legend, lightning can strike twice in the same place
(and often does). So too can tropical weather. Six times in history two
storms have affected Collier County in the same year:
-
In 1888 a westbound hurricane on August 17 passed within 8 miles of
Naples with 85 mile per hour winds, and a tropical storm passed by within
57 miles on September 8. Winds at Naples were 35 mph.
-
In 1897, tropical storms brushed Naples on September 21 and October
19.
-
Two tropical storms passed within 30 miles of Naples on June 15 and
July 29, 1936.
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Nine years later (1945) saw a tropical storm on September 4 and a major
hurricane (111 mph winds) 12 days later.
-
Tropical storms again hit on August 29 and October 9, 1953, both passing
less than 30 miles from Naples.
-
In 1960, Donna stuck on September 10-11, making land fall at Everglades
City. Less than two weeks later a tropical storm made land fall at nearly
the same spot!
-
In September 1998, Collier County evacuated south of US 41 for Hurricane
'Georges', but the storm veered westward at the last minute, and passed
the county by. In October, Tropical
Storm 'Mitch' (the left overs of the deadly Caribbean Category 5 super
hurricane) passed directly over Naples.
-
In September 2001, Collier County suffered from the impact of Tropical
Storm Gabrielle. Although no one was displaced by this storm,
it caused $8M worth of beach erosion, some road damages, and many personal
docks and piers were lost. If the storm slowed, a lot more damages
would have been realized.
-
Anyone for a "hat-trick?"
In ice hockey, scoring three goals in a game is a "hat trick." Collier
County saw a tropical weather "hat trick" in 1891!
-
On August 25, a tropical storm passing 19 miles from Naples spread 55
mile per hour winds over the area.
-
The October 7 storm brought 41 mph winds as it passed within 54 miles.
-
Just two days later (October 9) the third storm in six weeks passed
within 44 miles, and 45 mph winds passed through the area! (And you thought
there wasn't a lot of tropical activity in the Naples area. . .)
-
What's that name again?
Hurricanes and Tropical Storms were not named until 1950, and it
didn't take long for a named storm to affect Collier County. Hurricane
"Easy" passed by 43 miles offshore (90 mph winds at Naples) on September
4. "Easy" is well remembered for the double loop it did in the Gulf a couple
of days later, before going inland in the Tampa Bay area. The first storm
carrying a person's name to affect our area was "Hazel" on October 9, 1953.
The center passed 30 miles from Naples, and winds here were clocked at
58 mph.
-
They went that-a-way!
Usually, tropical weather moves through our area headed toward the
northeast or northwest. Looking at a compass dial, one storm was moving
due north as it passed (Tropical storm "Dennis," which made landfall near
Everglades City on August 17, 1981). The most common direction of travel
was toward the north and east, with 52 storms passing headed between 0
and 90 degrees. Just two passed moving south of east, four south of west,
and 37 between 270 and 360 degrees. Major hurricanes usually come from
the east.
Of the 25 category two or greater storms, 11 have moved toward the
northwest (exiting the state on the west coast which reduces storm surge
here), and just nine to the northeast. It's the storms which strike just
to the north of us coming out of the Gulf toward the northeast that can
cause the most dangerous storm surges.
-
Don't Threaten Me!
While this page deals with the 95 storms which have passed within
100 miles of Naples, it doesn't discuss those that have been close enough
to offer a serious threat to the area-even requiring evacuation and shelter
openings- before the storm moved away.
Examples: "David" (1979) and "Alberto" (1982). Nor does it deal with
the extra-tropical storms, the so-called "no name" storms such as the ones
in June of 1982 and March of 1993. Neither of these storms, nor Tropical
Storm "Jerry" in 1995 was closer to Naples than 250 miles! Given the actual
strikes and the close call threats, Collier County has had to deal with
a tropical threat about every 18 months, or twice every three seasons.
-
Watch out for that Warning!
The National Hurricane Center issues tropical storm and hurricane
watches and warnings.
-
Typically, a WATCH is issued 36 to as much as 48 hours before conditions
are expected in the area. A watch means that tropical storm or hurricane
conditions could reach the area in 24-36 hours.
-
A WARNING will come around 24 hours before. A warning means you should
expect the storm within 24 hours.
Lead times for watches can be increased, but longer lead times will
mean more false alarms as storms take another course.
It is virtually impossible for a hurricane to sneak up on us and
strike with no warning, but it's not unheard of for us to miss the watch
phase and go directly to a warning as some systems can develop quickly
and close by. Be ready to move quickly. In the last few years, there was
no time for a watch with "Alberto" (1982), "Keith" (1988), or "Marco" (1990).
Monitor the tropics through local radio and television, the Collier
County Emergency Management Tropical Weather Page,
NOAA
Weather Radio on 162.525 (Naples), and "The
Weather Channel" at 50 minutes after the hour from June through November.
Consult your cable operator for channel information.